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PolymarketCloses October 28, 2026

Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place

Likud leads at 69% (about 7 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 18, 05:22 UTC.

Likud 69%

The odds

as of Oct 18, 05:22 UTC
  • Likud 69% —
  • Yashar 31% +1
  • Together 1.1% −0.7
  • Otzma Yehudit <1% —
  • Blue and White <1% —
  • United Torah Judaism <1% —
  • Ra'am <1% —
  • Amcha Yisrael <1% —
Traded today$7K
Traded in all$30K
Favourite, 7 days+27 pts

Likud, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 10Oct 1869%

Oct 11: 40% · Oct 12: 46% · Oct 13: 47% · Oct 14: 61% · Oct 15: 56% · Oct 16: 69% · Oct 17: 69% · Oct 18: 69%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Israeli government, including the Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
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