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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

The market puts it at 7% — a long shot, about one in 14 — on Polymarket, as of Oct 29, 02:24 UTC. It's up 2.5 points in the last 24 hours.

Yes 7% ▲ 2.5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 29, 02:24 UTC
  • Chance of yes 7% +2.5
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$2.2M
Yes, 7 days+2 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 21Oct 297%

Oct 22: 5% · Oct 23: 5% · Oct 24: 5% · Oct 25: 5% · Oct 26: 5% · Oct 27: 4.5% · Oct 28: 4.5% · Oct 29: 7%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗

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