Moving
UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Karecka… Yes 5% ▼−58Baycurrent Classic: Top 5 Finishers Stephan Jaeger 77% ▲+58Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Correct … Draw 1-1 69% ▲+57Hong Kong vs Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia 4% ▼−50San Antonio vs Phoenix Phoenix 85% ▲+48Boise St. vs Fresno St.: 2nd Quarter Winner Tie 56% ▲+46Kothari vs Jaisinghani Raghav Jaisinghani 96% ▲+46Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea: Set 1 Winner Arthur Gea 78% ▲+45Los Angeles F vs Vancouver Tie 71% ▲+44Kansas vs. Utah Kansas O/U 2.5 91% ▲+41Spurs vs. Suns Suns 75% ▲+39Who will be Israeli national security minister aft… Yoram Cohen 62% ▲+38Los Angeles FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC Draw (Los Angeles FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC) 60% ▲+34Kamboj vs Tewari Udit Kamboj 84% ▲+34
PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

The market puts it at 2.3% — a very long shot — on Polymarket, as of Oct 11, 04:31 UTC.

Yes 2.3%

The odds

as of Oct 11, 04:31 UTC
  • Chance of yes 2.3% —
Traded today$559
Traded in all$3.5M
Yes, 7 days−3 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 3Oct 112%

Oct 4: 5.2% · Oct 5: 5.2% · Oct 6: 5.4% · Oct 7: 2.6% · Oct 8: 2.6% · Oct 9: 2.6% · Oct 10: 2.6% · Oct 11: 2.3%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗

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