Moving
PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

12-15 leads at 54% (about 5 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 5, 11:25 UTC. It's up 0.6 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 11:25 UTC
  • 12-15 54% +0.6
  • <12 36% −5.8
  • 16-19 4.5% —
  • 20-23 <1% —
  • 24-27 <1% —
  • 28-31 <1% —
  • 32+ <1% —
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$176K
Favourite, 7 days+8.3 pts

12-15, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 554%

Sep 28: 45% · Sep 29: 45% · Sep 30: 37% · Oct 1: 55% · Oct 2: 48% · Oct 3: 57% · Oct 4: 54% · Oct 5: 54%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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