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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by...?

The market puts it at 44% — about 4 in ten — on Polymarket, as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC. It's up 35 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC
  • Chance of yes 44% +35
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$27K
Yes, 7 days+35 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 544%

Sep 28: 9.5% · Sep 29: 9.5% · Sep 30: 9.5% · Oct 1: 9.5% · Oct 2: 9.5% · Oct 3: 9.5% · Oct 4: 60% · Oct 5: 44%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Google LLC and SpaceX officially announce an agreement related to launching, developing, operating, or partnering on orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying agreements include launch agreements, strategic partnerships, joint ventures, infrastructure agreements, or other formal commercial arrangements directly related to orbital data centers or space-based computing infrastructure. Announcements by Google, SpaceX, Alphabet Inc., or their authorized representatives will qualify, regardless of whether the agreement has closed, been fully executed, or entered into force. Non-binding discussions, reports of negotiations, rumors, exploratory talks, or agreements unrelated to orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Google, Alphabet, or SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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