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PolymarketCloses April 18, 2027

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon leads at 35% (about 4 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 25, 15:20 UTC. It's down 1.5 points in the last 24 hours.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 35% ▼ 1.5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 25, 15:20 UTC
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon 35% −1.5
  • Édouard Philippe 22% −5
  • Raphaël Glucksmann 16% —
  • David Lisnard 13% +6.5
  • Gabriel Attal 6.5% —
  • Marine Le Pen 4.5% —
  • Bruno Retailleau 2.5% —
  • François Hollande 1.3% —
Traded today$5K
Traded in all$28K
Favourite, 7 days−4.5 pts

Jean-Luc Mélenchon, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 17Oct 2535%

Oct 18: 40% · Oct 19: 37% · Oct 20: 37% · Oct 21: 37% · Oct 22: 37% · Oct 23: 37% · Oct 24: 37% · Oct 25: 35%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
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