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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

The market puts it at 97% — about 10 in ten — on Polymarket, as of Oct 7, 21:24 UTC. It's up 4.7 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 7, 21:24 UTC
  • Chance of yes 97% +4.7
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$59K
Yes, 7 days+2.7 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 29Oct 797%

Sep 30: 94% · Oct 1: 92% · Oct 2: 90% · Oct 3: 90% · Oct 4: 91% · Oct 5: 92% · Oct 6: 92% · Oct 7: 97%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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