Moving
Odell Beckham Jr. Next Team Minnesota 95% ▲+59Preston vs Grubor Janae Preston 95% ▲+46Avai vs Londrina Avai 89% ▲+45Los Angeles D vs Atlanta: First 5 Innings Tie 61% ▲+44Kaji vs Adams Haruka Kaji 92% ▲+43The Social Reckoning · Rotten Tomatoes score Above 55 87% ▲+38Maryville University vs. Disguised Maryville University 64% ▲+34Los Angeles D vs Atlanta: Outs Recorded Tyler Mahle: 15+ 81% ▲+33Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut? 1480+ 64% ▲+31Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI… October 31 64% ▲+28Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (St… Google 28% ▼−27Critics Choice Awards: Best Adapted Screenplay La Bola Negra 11% ▼−27Republican House odds hit __ by October 31? ↓ 7% 53% ▼−26Remo vs Gremio Remo 16% ▼−25
PolymarketCloses November 1, 2026

Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by...?

The market puts it at 8.5% — a long shot, about one in 12 — on Polymarket, as of Oct 7, 23:22 UTC. It's down 2 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 7, 23:22 UTC
  • Chance of yes 8.5% −2
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$47K
Yes, 7 days−18 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 30Oct 79%

Sep 30: 26% · Oct 1: 26% · Oct 2: 9.5% · Oct 3: 8% · Oct 4: 10% · Oct 5: 11% · Oct 6: 11% · Oct 7: 8.5%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗

World

More markets like this

All →