The odds
as of Oct 20, 14:25 UTC- Chance of yes 4% −0.6
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$73K
Yes, 7 daysunch
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 13: 5.4% · Oct 14: 5.2% · Oct 15: 5% · Oct 16: 5% · Oct 17: 4.7% · Oct 18: 4.6% · Oct 19: 4.3% · Oct 20: 4.2%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗