The odds
as of Oct 13, 12:40 UTC- Chance of yes 14% +4
Traded today$746
Traded in all$54K
Yes, 7 days+2 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 6: 13% · Oct 7: 12% · Oct 8: 12% · Oct 9: 15% · Oct 10: 16% · Oct 11: 15% · Oct 12: 12% · Oct 13: 14%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf SpaceX launches a manned Starship mission to Mars by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: SpaceX
See it on Kalshi ↗