The odds
as of Oct 7, 21:24 UTC- Above 3.05 million TEUs 96% —
- Above 3.15 million TEUs 92% —
- Above 3.25 million TEUs 51% —
- Above 3.35 million TEUs 8.5% —
- Above 3.45 million TEUs 8.5% —
- Above 3.55 million TEUs 2.5% +1
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$48K
Favourite, 7 days+1 pts
Above 3.05 million TEUs, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 30: 95% · Oct 1: 95% · Oct 2: 95% · Oct 3: 96% · Oct 4: 96% · Oct 5: 96% · Oct 6: 96% · Oct 7: 96%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 3.05 million TEUs; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Port of Virginia total container volume for calendar year 2026 is above 3.05 million TEUs, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the Port of Virginia’s total twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) for January through December 2026. Loaded and empty import and export TEUs are all included in the published total. The Port publishes these figures through its official Monthly Statistics workbook.
Settlement sources: The Port of Virginia
See it on Kalshi ↗