The odds
as of Oct 30, 15:18 UTC- Above 6.0% 88% —
- Above 6.1% 91% −1
- Above 6.2% 88% +38
- Above 6.3% 90% +17
- Above 6.4% 64% —
- Above 6.5% 69% —
- Above 6.6% 85% +3
- Above 6.7% 73% +20
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$27K
Favourite, 7 days+1.5 pts
Above 6.1%, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 23: 90% · Oct 24: 89% · Oct 25: 90% · Oct 26: 88% · Oct 27: 53% · Oct 28: 51% · Oct 29: 51% · Oct 30: 91%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 6.1%; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for October 2026 is above 6.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Trading Economics
See it on Kalshi ↗