The odds
as of Oct 25, 19:18 UTC- Above 2.6% 50% —
- Above 2.7% 56% +19
- Above 2.8% 41% —
- Above 2.9% 9% −9
- Above 3.0% 1% −12
- Above 3.1% 1% —
- Above 3.2% 1% —
- Above 3.3% 1% —
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$11K
Traded in all$33K
Favourite, 7 days+6 pts
Above 2.7%, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 21: 50% · Oct 22: 48% · Oct 23: 63% · Oct 24: 38% · Oct 25: 48%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 2.7%; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Mexico unemployment rate is above 2.7% for October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Trading Economics
See it on Kalshi ↗