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KalshiCloses December 1, 2028

Will the 2028 presidential election occur?

The market puts it at 92% — about 9 in ten — on Kalshi, as of Oct 5, 13:33 UTC. It's down 2.3 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 13:33 UTC
  • Chance of yes 92% −2.3
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$73K
Yes, 7 daysunch

Yes, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Sep 28Oct 592%

Sep 28: 92% · Sep 29: 92% · Sep 30: 92% · Oct 1: 92% · Oct 2: 92% · Oct 3: 92% · Oct 4: 92% · Oct 5: 92%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
If the 2028 U.S. presidential election occurs, then the market resolves to Yes. Please see full rules for details.

Settlement sources: the Federal Election Commission; the National Archives and Records Administration; the Associated Press; Reuters; The New York Times; The Washington Post; The Wall Street Journal; Bloomberg News; CNN; Fox News; ABC News; CBS News; NBC News; MSNBC; Politico; Axios

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Politics & elections

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