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KalshiCloses December 31, 2027

Oscar nominees: Best Visual Effects

Dune: Part Three leads at 92% (about 9 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Oct 29, 18:22 UTC. It's down 7 points in the last 24 hours.

Dune: Part Three 92% ▼ 7 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 29, 18:22 UTC
  • Dune: Part Three 92% −7
  • Project Hail Mary 85% −5
  • Godzilla Minus Zero 82% +1
  • The Odyssey 79% −7
  • Avengers: Doomsday 42% −8
  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day 30% —
  • Narnia 6% —

Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$650
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days+1 pts

Dune: Part Three, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 21Oct 2993%

Oct 22: 91% · Oct 23: 92% · Oct 24: 91% · Oct 25: 92% · Oct 26: 91% · Oct 27: 94% · Oct 28: 94% · Oct 29: 93%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Dune: Part Three; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Dune: Part Three has been nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences

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