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KalshiCloses January 1, 2027

Sam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?

The market puts it at 6% — a long shot, about one in 17 — on Kalshi, as of Oct 10, 05:25 UTC. It's up 5 points in the last 24 hours.

Yes 6% ▲ 5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 10, 05:25 UTC
  • Chance of yes 6% +5
Traded today$925
Traded in all$116K
Yes, 7 days+3 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 2Oct 106%

Oct 3: 3.5% · Oct 4: 4% · Oct 5: 3.5% · Oct 6: 4% · Oct 7: 4% · Oct 8: 4% · Oct 9: 4% · Oct 10: 6%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
If OpenAI's CEO (including an interim CEO) changes by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources: Bloomberg; OpenAI

See it on Kalshi ↗

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