The odds
as of Oct 5, 11:25 UTC- Above $5.50 97% −1.5
- Above $5.60 95% —
- Above $5.70 96% −1
- Above $5.80 92% +3
- Above $5.90 85% +2
- Above $6.00 83% +4
- Above $6.10 73% +12
- Above $6.20 63% +5
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$107K
Favourite, 7 days+47 pts
Above $5.50, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 98% · Sep 29: 98% · Sep 30: 99% · Oct 1: 99% · Oct 2: 98% · Oct 3: 98% · Oct 4: 98% · Oct 5: 97%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above $5.50; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 is above $5.50, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: AAA
See it on Kalshi ↗