The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- More than $1.4 trillion 24% +10
- More than $1.5 trillion 14% —
- More than $1.6 trillion 8.5% —
- More than $1.7 trillion 5.5% —
- More than $1.8 trillion 6% —
- More than $1.9 trillion 4.5% —
- More than $2 trillion 3.5% —
- More than $2.1 trillion 3.5% —
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$6K
Traded in all$458K
Favourite, 7 days+7.5 pts
More than $1.4 trillion, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 16% · Sep 29: 16% · Sep 30: 16% · Oct 1: 16% · Oct 2: 16% · Oct 3: 16% · Oct 4: 14% · Oct 5: 24%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, More than $1.4 trillion; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Elon Musk has a net worth more than $1.4 trillion dollars before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Forbes
See it on Kalshi ↗