The odds
as of Oct 20, 03:28 UTC- Above 55 million pounds 97% −1
- Above 60 million pounds 95% —
- Above 65 million pounds 87% +4
- Above 70 million pounds 71% −8
- Above 75 million pounds 40% —
- Above 80 million pounds 14% —
- Above 85 million pounds 13% +5
- Above 90 million pounds 7% +4
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$9K
Traded in all$52K
Favourite, 7 days−1 pts
Above 55 million pounds, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 13: 98% · Oct 14: 98% · Oct 15: 98% · Oct 16: 98% · Oct 17: 98% · Oct 18: 98% · Oct 19: 98% · Oct 20: 97%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 55 million pounds; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Maine Department of Marine Resources reports that Maine commercial lobster landings for calendar year 2026 is above 55 million pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the statewide Lobster commercial landings total published by Maine DMR for 2026, measured in live pounds. The market concerns landings volume, not landed value, number of fishing trips, or number of individual lobsters.
Settlement sources: Maine Department of Marine Resources
See it on Kalshi ↗