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KalshiCloses April 30, 2027

Will Massachusetts scientific R&D jobs rise YoY?

The market puts it at 81% — about 8 in ten — on Kalshi, as of Oct 31, 22:14 UTC. It's down 1 points in the last 24 hours.

Yes 81% ▼ 1 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 31, 22:14 UTC
  • Chance of yes 81% −1
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$27K
Yes, 7 days−0.5 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 23Oct 3181%

Oct 24: 82% · Oct 25: 82% · Oct 26: 82% · Oct 27: 82% · Oct 28: 82% · Oct 29: 82% · Oct 30: 82% · Oct 31: 81%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
If Massachusetts’s annual-average employment in Scientific Research and Development Services for 2026 is above 103,400 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is BLS series SMU25000006054170001, measured in thousands of jobs and not seasonally adjusted. The 2026 annual average will be calculated from the January–December 2026 BLS monthly values following the applicable annual benchmark revision. The 103.4 thousand-job threshold is fixed.

Settlement sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics

See it on Kalshi ↗

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