The odds
as of Oct 30, 15:18 UTC- Chance of yes 8.5% +5.4
Traded today$6K
Traded in all$67K
Yes, 7 days+5.8 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 23: 2.6% · Oct 24: 2.6% · Oct 25: 2.4% · Oct 26: 2.1% · Oct 27: 3.7% · Oct 28: 4.1% · Oct 29: 2.4% · Oct 30: 8.1%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf the Republican Party loses majority control of the U.S. House of Representatives after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: U.S. House of Representatives
See it on Kalshi ↗