The odds
as of Oct 30, 14:20 UTC- John McGuire 61% +3
- Tom Perriello 41% −2
Traded today$141K
Traded in all$783K
Favourite, 7 days−3 pts
John McGuire, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 23: 64% · Oct 24: 66% · Oct 25: 67% · Oct 26: 66% · Oct 27: 66% · Oct 28: 59% · Oct 29: 57% · Oct 30: 61%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, John McGuire; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the House member sworn in for VA-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: Library of Congress
See it on Kalshi ↗