The odds
as of Oct 5, 13:33 UTC- Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 76% +0.5
- Bernadette Wilson 21% −1
- Dave Bronson 2.5% —
- Bill Walker 2% —
- Treg Taylor 1.5% —
- Lesil McGuire 1% —
- Tom Begich <1% —
- Adam Crum <1% —
Traded today$19K
Traded in all$702K
Favourite, 7 days−1 pts
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 77% · Sep 29: 78% · Sep 30: 78% · Oct 1: 77% · Oct 2: 77% · Oct 3: 76% · Oct 4: 75% · Oct 5: 76%
The same question on Polymarket
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Polymarket's number is as of Oct 5, 13:33 UTC.
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is elected the governor of Alaska pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: The New York Times; the Associated Press; Reuters; Axios; Politico; Semafor; The Information; The Washington Post; The Wall Street Journal; ABC; CBS; CNN; Fox News; MSNBC
See it on Kalshi ↗