The odds
as of Oct 26, 15:10 UTC- Chance of yes 29% −2.7
Traded today$729
Traded in all$182K
Yes, 7 days−3.6 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 19: 33% · Oct 20: 33% · Oct 21: 33% · Oct 22: 33% · Oct 23: 33% · Oct 24: 31% · Oct 25: 32% · Oct 26: 29%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf any quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2028 has GDP growth of above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis
See it on Kalshi ↗