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KalshiCloses February 26, 2027

Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?

The market puts it at 28% — about 3 in ten — on Kalshi, as of Oct 14, 05:24 UTC. It's up 7 points in the last 24 hours.

Yes 28% ▲ 7 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 14, 05:24 UTC
  • Chance of yes 28% +7
Traded today$16K
Traded in all$46K
Yes, 7 days+7 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 6Oct 1422%

Oct 7: 22% · Oct 8: 22% · Oct 9: 22% · Oct 10: 22% · Oct 11: 22% · Oct 12: 22% · Oct 13: 22% · Oct 14: 22%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
If VISIT FLORIDA reports that Florida visitors in calendar year 2026 are above 143.33 million visitors, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the statewide total visitor estimate for calendar year 2026, measured in visitor person-trips, as reported by VISIT FLORIDA. The total includes domestic, Canadian, and overseas visitors and excludes Florida residents. It does not use airport passengers, hotel stays, visitor days, or tourism spending. Resolution uses the first official VISIT FLORIDA publication containing a complete calendar-year 2026 visitor estimate; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution.

Settlement sources: VISIT FLORIDA

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