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KalshiCloses December 7, 2026

Will an F1 Grand Prix race take place in Abu Dhabi before December 7, 2026?

The market puts it at 19% — about 2 in ten — on Kalshi, as of Nov 4, 07:18 UTC. It's down 18 points in the last 24 hours.

Yes 19% ▼ 18 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 4, 07:18 UTC
  • Chance of yes 19% −18
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$30K
Yes, 7 days−22 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 27Nov 419%

Oct 28: 40% · Oct 29: 41% · Oct 30: 42% · Oct 31: 40% · Nov 1: 41% · Nov 2: 44% · Nov 3: 25% · Nov 4: 19%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
If the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix main race happens in Abu Dhabi after issuance and before Dec 7, 2026 at 12:00am EST, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves No if the 2026 Formula 1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix race is cancelled, does not commence before the specified deadline, or takes place outside Abu Dhabi. A postponement beyond the deadline resolves No regardless of whether the race is later held in Abu Dhabi. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources: Fox Sports; Reuters; Formula 1; The Wall Street Journal; ESPN; Associated Press

Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.

See it on Kalshi ↗

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