The odds
as of Oct 29, 18:22 UTC- Before 2028 14% +21
- Before 2027 4% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$674
Traded in all$41K
Favourite, 7 days+2 pts
Before 2028, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 22: 13% · Oct 23: 13% · Oct 24: 12% · Oct 25: 12% · Oct 26: 12% · Oct 27: 12% · Oct 28: 11% · Oct 29: 14%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Before 2028; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Elder Scrolls VI is released on any console before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Bethesda; Microsoft
See it on Kalshi ↗