The odds
as of Oct 17, 09:22 UTC- Chance of yes 19% +2
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$26K
Yes, 7 days−8.5 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 10: 28% · Oct 11: 28% · Oct 12: 30% · Oct 13: 19% · Oct 14: 20% · Oct 15: 18% · Oct 16: 18% · Oct 17: 19%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf Connecticut’s annual average employment in Insurance Carriers and Related Activities for 2026 is above 54,600 employees, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the annual average of not-seasonally-adjusted all-employee payroll employment in Connecticut for Insurance Carriers and Related Activities (NAICS 524). BLS reports the series in thousands of employees; for example, 54.6 thousand is treated as 54,600 employees. The category includes insurance carriers as well as agencies, brokerages, and other insurance-related activities, so it should not be interpreted as insurance carriers alone. Resolution uses the first BLS-published 54,600 employees annual-average value; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution. The underlying BLS series ID is SMU09000005552400001.
Settlement sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics
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