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KalshiCloses November 4, 2026

Sweden rate decision in November

Hike 1-25bps leads at 48% (about 5 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Oct 19, 07:39 UTC. It's down 16 points in the last 24 hours.

Hike 1-25bps 48% ▼ 16 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 19, 07:39 UTC
  • Hike 1-25bps 48% −16
  • Maintain current rate 32% —
  • Hike more than 25bps 2% —
  • Cut more than 25bps 1% —
  • Cut 1-25bps 1% —
Traded today$600
Traded in all$27K
Favourite, 7 days−3 pts

Hike 1-25bps, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 11Oct 1946%

Oct 12: 51% · Oct 13: 51% · Oct 14: 51% · Oct 15: 50% · Oct 16: 48% · Oct 17: 56% · Oct 18: 56% · Oct 19: 46%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Hike 1-25bps; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Sveriges Riksbank takes the action of hike 1-25bps at its November monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.

Settlement sources: Sveriges Riksbank; Trading Economics

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