The odds
as of Oct 19, 07:39 UTC- Hike 1-25bps 48% −16
- Maintain current rate 32% —
- Hike more than 25bps 2% —
- Cut more than 25bps 1% —
- Cut 1-25bps 1% —
Traded today$600
Traded in all$27K
Favourite, 7 days−3 pts
Hike 1-25bps, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 12: 51% · Oct 13: 51% · Oct 14: 51% · Oct 15: 50% · Oct 16: 48% · Oct 17: 56% · Oct 18: 56% · Oct 19: 46%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Hike 1-25bps; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Sveriges Riksbank takes the action of hike 1-25bps at its November monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
Settlement sources: Sveriges Riksbank; Trading Economics
See it on Kalshi ↗