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KalshiCloses January 1, 2027

Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 0ㅤ leads at 93% (about 9 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Oct 26, 07:41 UTC. It's up 3 points in the last 24 hours.

Exactly 0ㅤ 93% ▲ 3 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 26, 07:41 UTC
  • Exactly 0ㅤ 93% +3
  • Exactly 4ㅤ 4% —
  • Exactly 1ㅤ 2.5% −3
  • Exactly 2ㅤ 1% —
  • Exactly 3ㅤ 1% —
  • 5 or moreㅤ 1% —
Traded today$627
Traded in all$31K
Favourite, 7 daysunch

Exactly 0ㅤ, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 18Oct 2693%

Oct 19: 93% · Oct 20: 93% · Oct 21: 92% · Oct 22: 92% · Oct 23: 92% · Oct 24: 93% · Oct 25: 93% · Oct 26: 93%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Exactly 0ㅤ; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026 is exactly 0ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes. To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).

Settlement sources: Trading Economics

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