The odds
as of Oct 10, 21:22 UTC- Proposition 3 90% −1
- Proposition 2 86% —
- Proposition 1 82% —
- Proposition 37 81% —
- Proposition 42 60% —
- Proposition 45 49% −1
- Proposition 5 45% +11
- Proposition 38 43% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$954
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days+6.5 pts
Proposition 3, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 3: 84% · Oct 4: 85% · Oct 5: 88% · Oct 6: 89% · Oct 7: 88% · Oct 8: 90% · Oct 9: 90% · Oct 10: 90%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Proposition 3; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Proposition 3 passes in California, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: California Secretary of State
See it on Kalshi ↗