The odds
as of Oct 31, 21:13 UTC- Chance of yes 70% +1
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$98K
Yes, 7 days+7.5 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 24: 63% · Oct 25: 63% · Oct 26: 64% · Oct 27: 64% · Oct 28: 64% · Oct 29: 62% · Oct 30: 66% · Oct 31: 70%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf Blue Origin lands an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship as well as before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Blue Origin; The New York Times; the Associated Press; Reuters; Axios; Politico; Semafor; The Information; The Washington Post; The Wall Street Journal; ABC; CBS; CNN; Fox News; MSNBC
See it on Kalshi ↗