The odds
as of Oct 13, 07:37 UTC- Harry Kane 96% +4
- Lamine Yamal 92% —
- Kylian Mbappé 73% +1
- Lionel Messi 33% +7
- Rodri 16% —
- Pau Cubarsí 8% +3
- Ousmane Dembélé 7% —
- Michael Olise 7% +3
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Harry Kane, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 6: 96% · Oct 7: 96% · Oct 8: 96% · Oct 9: 96% · Oct 10: 96% · Oct 11: 95% · Oct 12: 96% · Oct 13: 96%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Harry Kane; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Harry Kane is ranked top 3 on official final men's Ballon d'Or ranking for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Ballon d'Or organizers (France Football and UEFA). All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: Ballon d'Or
Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.
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