Moving
Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO? Goldman Sachs 92% ▲+86Streamer Awards: Best Content Group Core 72% ▲+71Which countries will qualify for LA28 men's lacros… Great Britain 86% ▲+71Biletnikoff Award Finalists Malachi Toney 94% ▲+69Bank of Brazil decision in November? 25 bps decrease 14% ▼−68Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026? Exactly 5 cuts 70% ▲+60NASCAR Cup Series Champion Kyle Larson 88% ▲+54Samson vs Tubello Alice Tubello 86% ▲+50Agudelo vs Simon Padros Felicitas Simon Padros 79% ▲+49Toronto Nationals vs Montreal Warriors Toronto Nationals 90% ▲+46Machac vs de Minaur Tomas Machac 66% ▲+43Who will Trump speak to by October 31? Lula da Silva 55% ▲+42Pro Football Next Coach Out Aaron Glenn 36% ▲+37Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin Mohun Bagan 45% ▼−36
KalshiCloses November 9, 2026

Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur: Set 1 Winner

Tomas Machac leads at >99% (all but certain, by the price) on Kalshi, as of Oct 26, 15:10 UTC. It's up 50 points in the last 24 hours.

Tomas Machac >99% ▲ 50 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 26, 15:10 UTC
  • Tomas Machac >99% +50
  • Alex de Minaur 1% —
Traded today$147K
Traded in all$148K
Favourite, 7 days+50 pts

Tomas Machac, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 25Oct 26100%

Oct 25: 50% · Oct 26: >99%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Tomas Machac; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Tomas Machac wins set 1 in the Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Round Of 32. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources: ATP

Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.

See it on Kalshi ↗

Sports

More markets like this

All →