Moving
Baycurrent Classic End of Round 1 Leader Jacob Bridgeman 96% ▲+93Baycurrent Classic: Top 20 Finishers Stephan Jaeger 94% ▲+66Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin: Set 2 Winner Camilo Ugo Carabelli 90% ▲+54Erel vs Pleshivtsev Yanki Erel 93% ▲+46EPL: Team Points Hull City: 15+ Points 96% ▲+45ALCS MVP Winner Miguel Vargas 45% ▲+40Critics Choice Awards: Best Foreign Language Film All of a Sudden 44% ▲+38Steam: Weekly Top Seller STAR WARS: Galactic Racer™ 35% ▼−38RED Canids vs. FlyQuest FlyQuest 84% ▲+33Mertens vs Swiatek Iga Swiatek 80% ▲+31Kotov vs Griekspoor Pavel Kotov 64% ▲+30US strike on Colombia by...? Yes 30% ▼−28Women's Pro Basketball Finals Qualifiers Golden State 84% ▲+27Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greec… December 31 40% ▲+26
KalshiGame · Oct 7

Ugo Carabelli vs Simakin

Ilia Simakin leads at 65% (about 7 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Oct 8, 05:28 UTC. It's down 2 points in the last 24 hours.

Ilia Simakin 65% ▼ 2 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 8, 05:28 UTC
  • Ilia Simakin 65% −2
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli 36% +5
Traded today$651K
Traded in all$680K
Favourite, 7 days−3.5 pts

Ilia Simakin, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 6Oct 893%

Oct 6: 68% · Oct 7: 68% · Oct 8: 93%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Ilia Simakin; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Ilia Simakin wins the Ugo Carabelli vs Simakin professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Ugo Carabelli vs Simakin professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources: ATP

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