The odds
as of Nov 7, 19:13 UTC- Oscar Isaac 26% +8
- Jodie Comer 20% −10
- Toni Collette 19% −5
- Olivia Colman 19% —
- Léa Seydoux 16% —
- Deepika Padukone 14% —
- Marion Cotillard 10% —
- Andrew Scott 10% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$76K
Favourite, 7 days−9.5 pts
Oscar Isaac, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 31: 36% · Nov 1: 36% · Nov 2: 48% · Nov 3: 42% · Nov 4: 41% · Nov 5: 32% · Nov 6: 65% · Nov 7: 26%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Oscar Isaac; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Oscar Isaac is cast in The White Lotus: Season 4, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: The Hollywood Reporter; The New York Times; the Associated Press; Reuters; Axios; Politico; Semafor; The Information; The Washington Post; The Wall Street Journal; ABC; CBS; CNN; Fox News; MSNBC
See it on Kalshi ↗