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KalshiCloses December 31, 2026

Next Superman film: Will Elon Musk be cast?

The market puts it at 1.5% — a very long shot — on Kalshi, as of Oct 28, 08:24 UTC. It's down 0.5 points in the last 24 hours.

Yes 1.5% ▼ 0.5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 28, 08:24 UTC
  • Chance of yes 1.5% −0.5
Traded today$672
Traded in all$28K
Yes, 7 days−2.5 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 24Oct 282%

Oct 24: 4% · Oct 27: 1.5% · Oct 28: 1.5%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
If Elon Musk is cast in Superman before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Disney. Any references to Disney, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between bravo and Disney.

Settlement sources: The Hollywood Reporter; The New York Times; the Associated Press; Reuters; Axios; Politico; Semafor; The Information; The Washington Post; The Wall Street Journal; ABC; CBS; CNN; Fox News; MSNBC

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