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KalshiCloses November 3, 2027

NC-01 House winner?

Don Davis leads at 86% (about 9 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Oct 30, 23:14 UTC. It's up 4 points in the last 24 hours.

Don Davis 86% ▲ 4 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 30, 23:14 UTC
  • Don Davis 86% +4
  • Laurie Buckhout 16% −3
Traded today$124K
Traded in all$583K
Favourite, 7 days+4 pts

Don Davis, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 23Oct 3086%

Oct 23: 82% · Oct 24: 81% · Oct 25: 82% · Oct 26: 83% · Oct 27: 83% · Oct 28: 84% · Oct 29: 83% · Oct 30: 86%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Don Davis; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the House member sworn in for NC-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources: Library of Congress

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