The odds
as of Nov 2, 18:20 UTC- Democratic party 66% +3
- Republican party 31% −4
Traded today$7K
Traded in all$33K
Favourite, 7 days+12 pts
Democratic party, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 26: 54% · Oct 27: 54% · Oct 28: 54% · Oct 29: 63% · Oct 30: 60% · Oct 31: 61% · Nov 1: 61% · Nov 2: 66%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Democratic party; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Democratic party has won control of the Senate in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. Senate. See full rules for details. Otherwise, victory will be determined by the party identification of the President pro tempore of the Senate on February 1, 2029.
Settlement sources: Library of Congress
See it on Kalshi ↗