The odds
as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC- Chance of yes 5% +0.5
Traded today$7K
Traded in all$286K
Yes, 7 days−0.5 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 5.5% · Sep 29: 5.5% · Sep 30: 5.5% · Oct 1: 5.5% · Oct 2: 4.5% · Oct 3: 4.5% · Oct 4: 7% · Oct 5: 5.5%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
See it on Polymarket ↗