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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?

The market puts it at 15% — about 2 in ten — on Polymarket, as of Oct 14, 17:21 UTC. It's down 0.5 points in the last 24 hours.

Yes 15% ▼ 0.5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 14, 17:21 UTC
  • Chance of yes 15% −0.5
Traded today$607
Traded in all$120K
Yes, 7 days−4.5 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 6Oct 1415%

Oct 7: 20% · Oct 8: 20% · Oct 9: 19% · Oct 10: 19% · Oct 11: 19% · Oct 12: 14% · Oct 13: 16% · Oct 14: 15%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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