The odds
as of Oct 16, 10:24 UTC- Chance of yes 11% —
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$487K
Yes, 7 daysunch
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 9: 10% · Oct 10: 10% · Oct 11: 8.5% · Oct 12: 11% · Oct 13: 11% · Oct 14: 11% · Oct 15: 11% · Oct 16: 10%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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