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PolymarketCloses October 28, 2026

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

The market puts it at 93% — about 9 in ten — on Polymarket, as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC. It's up 2.6 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC
  • Chance of yes 93% +2.6
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$27K
Yes, 7 days−1 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 593%

Sep 28: 94% · Sep 29: 77% · Sep 30: 90% · Oct 1: 92% · Oct 2: 90% · Oct 3: 90% · Oct 4: 91% · Oct 5: 93%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026. For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement). Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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