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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?

The market puts it at 18% — about 2 in ten — on Polymarket, as of Oct 6, 19:22 UTC. It's up 3 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 6, 19:22 UTC
  • Chance of yes 18% +3
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$51K
Yes, 7 days−7.3 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 28Oct 618%

Sep 29: 26% · Sep 30: 26% · Oct 1: 17% · Oct 2: 16% · Oct 3: 15% · Oct 4: 15% · Oct 5: 16% · Oct 6: 18%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state. Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium. Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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