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PolymarketCloses September 24, 2028

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Anthony Albanese leads at 28% (about 3 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 7, 06:40 UTC. It's down 15 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 7, 06:40 UTC
  • Anthony Albanese 28% −15
  • Pauline Hanson 25% +1
  • Angus Taylor 6.5% −5
  • Jim Chalmers 6.1% —
  • Robbie Katter 1.1% —
  • Larissa Waters <1% —
Traded today$806
Traded in all$33K
Favourite, 7 days−18 pts

Anthony Albanese, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 29Oct 728%

Sep 30: 42% · Oct 1: 42% · Oct 2: 41% · Oct 3: 43% · Oct 4: 44% · Oct 5: 44% · Oct 6: 42% · Oct 7: 28%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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