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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

No Endorsement leads at 84% (about 8 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC. It's down 1.5 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC
  • No Endorsement 84% −1.5
  • Likud 11% +1
  • Yashar <1% —
  • Together <1% —
  • Shas <1% —
  • Blue and White <1% —
  • Religious Zionism <1% —
  • UTJ <1% —
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$55K
Favourite, 7 days+22 pts

No Endorsement, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 584%

Sep 28: 69% · Sep 29: 72% · Sep 30: 70% · Oct 1: 86% · Oct 2: 86% · Oct 3: 86% · Oct 4: 84% · Oct 5: 84%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026. This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents. In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties. Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
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