The odds
as of Oct 16, 12:34 UTC- <$397K 40% —
- $397K - $407K 25% +2.3
- $407K - $417K 17% −1.5
- $417K - $427K 8% −2.5
- $446K+ 3.1% −3.5
- $427K - $437K <1% −4
- $437K - $446K <1% —
Traded today$5K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days−4 pts
<$397K, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 9: 44% · Oct 10: 45% · Oct 11: 42% · Oct 12: 35% · Oct 13: 41% · Oct 14: 35% · Oct 15: 35% · Oct 16: 40%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on December 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/59)
See it on Polymarket ↗