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PolymarketCloses December 1, 2026

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?

November 30 leads at 35% (about 3 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 30, 21:14 UTC.

November 30 35%

The odds

as of Oct 30, 21:14 UTC
  • November 30 35% —
  • October 31 3.8% −2.3

Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$715
Traded in all$40K
Favourite, 7 days+12 pts

November 30, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 30Oct 3031%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
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