The odds
as of Oct 21, 01:33 UTC- Chance of yes 1.7% —
Traded today$746
Traded in all$1.3M
Yes, 7 daysunch
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 14: 1.4% · Oct 15: 1.4% · Oct 16: 1.5% · Oct 17: 1.4% · Oct 18: 1.5% · Oct 19: 1.5% · Oct 20: 1.5% · Oct 21: 1.7%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordIf Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗