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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Ukraine election called by...?

The market puts it at 5.1% — a long shot, about one in 19 — on Polymarket, as of Oct 8, 15:26 UTC.

Yes 5.1%

The odds

as of Oct 8, 15:26 UTC
  • Chance of yes 5.1% —
Traded today$725
Traded in all$1.9M
Yes, 7 days−1 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 30Oct 85%

Oct 1: 4.5% · Oct 2: 6.5% · Oct 3: 4.1% · Oct 4: 5.5% · Oct 5: 5.6% · Oct 6: 5.4% · Oct 7: 5.4% · Oct 8: 5.2%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place in 2025 or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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